Innovative Insurance and Profit Modeling: Integrating ARIMA and LSTM for Risk Assessment and Profit Maximization Strategies

Authors

  • Meng Yuan
  • Zihao Zou
  • Shuhao Chang

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.62051/8tp3wz24

Keywords:

Innovation, Sustainability, Resilience.

Abstract

This research presents an innovative approach to insurance and profit modeling by integrating ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) and LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) techniques for risk assessment and profit maximization in the insurance industry. The study initially establishes sub-models focusing on income modes and loss modes, utilizing historical data and risk factors to calculate potential profits and losses. Through the development of a profit model based on nonlinear programming, the study aims to optimize costs associated with natural disaster claims while maximizing profitability. Leveraging machine learning techniques, particularly LSTM, the research refines time series models to predict and mitigate risks more accurately. The findings emphasize the importance of geographical variations and timely underwriting decisions for insurance companies to ensure business stability and sustainable growth amidst evolving risk landscapes.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

[1] Liu Rong. Research on optimization of cyber security insurance coverage in China in the era of digital economy [D]. Guangxi University, 2023.

[2] He Zhongming. Research on optimization of anti-fraud strategies for agricultural insurance at RB Insurance Yibin Branch [D]. Chongqing Technology and Business University, 2023.

[3] Zhu Ming, Yang Ruhua. The impact of reinsurance on agricultural insurance underwriting risks—Discussion on the adjustment effect of competitive advantage [J]. Rural Economy, 2023, (03): 69-77.

[4] He Shuang. Research on risk management of project insurance for large government investment projects [D]. Chongqing University, 2022.

[5] Li Qian. Research on factors influencing the claims ratio of car insurance at XX Property Insurance Company using the random forest algorithm [D]. Hunan University, 2022.

[6] Ni Jie. Research and case analysis on the extension of deposit insurance pricing model based on Merton option pricing framework[D]. Zhejiang Gongshang University, 2022.

[7] Chen Linwei. Study on the impact of export credit insurance on Wuxi's export trade and enhancement strategies [D]. Southeast University, 2021.

[8] Wang Yao. The impact of non-credit factors on the default risk of individual credit loans [D]. University of International Business and Economics, 2021.

[9] Zhang Peipei. Research on optimization of underwriting management of trademark insurance in China [D]. Chongqing University of Technology, 2021. DOI: 10.27753/d.cnki.gcqgx.2021.000043.

[10] Mao Qinjing. Policy orientation of Chinese export credit insurance and its impact on export trade [D]. Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, 2020.

Downloads

Published

21-08-2024

How to Cite

Yuan, M., Zou, Z., & Chang, S. (2024). Innovative Insurance and Profit Modeling: Integrating ARIMA and LSTM for Risk Assessment and Profit Maximization Strategies. Transactions on Economics, Business and Management Research, 9, 333-341. https://doi.org/10.62051/8tp3wz24