Optimizing Retail Inventory Management Through Time Series Analysis

Authors

  • Ziyan Fu

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.62051/dy4kaf37

Keywords:

Time Series Analysis; ARIMA Model; Seasonal Decomposition; Forecasting Model Optimization.

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to investigate the application of time series analysis in the management of retail inventory, with a particular emphasis on the precision of forecasting as well as the applicability of ARIMA models and seasonal decomposition techniques. This study aimed to evaluate these models' effectiveness in improving the scientific and precise nature of inventory management. This was accomplished by using legitimate retail data. According to the findings, the ARIMA model is effective in managing data that is stable or does not exhibit seasonal patterns. On the other hand, the seasonal decomposition technique demonstrates strong forecasting accuracy in managing data that exhibits seasonal fluctuations. Not only does this research improve the theoretical implementation of time series analysis in the retail sector, but it also provides retailers with practical strategies for mitigating economic losses that are caused by inventory imbalance. When it comes to the management of retail inventory, the findings of the research are significant for improving both overall cost control and customer satisfaction.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

[1] E. Bayraktar, M. C. Jothishankar, E. Tatoglu, and T. Wu, Evolution of operations management: past, present and future. Management Research News, 30 (2007) 843–871.

[2] A. M. Mkonu and J.O. Gichana, Relationship between inventory management policies and supply chain performance of retail supermarkets in Nairobi, Kenya. International Journal of Supply Chain and Logistics, 3 (2019) 63.

[3] M. Bonney and M. Y. Jaber, Environmentally responsible inventory models: Non-classical models for a non-classical era. International Journal of Production Economics, 133 (2011) 43–53.

[4] C. Deng and Y. Liu, A Deep Learning-Based Inventory Management and Demand Prediction Optimization Method for Anomaly Detection. Wireless Communications and Mobile Computing, (2021) 1–14.

[5] S. Ren, H.L. Chan, and T. Siqin, Demand forecasting in retail operations for fashionable products: methods, practices, and real case study. Annals of Operations Research, 291 (2019).

[6] A. S. Otto, D. M. Szymanski, and R. Varadarajan, Customer satisfaction and firm performance: insights from over a quarter century of empirical research. Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, 48 (2019) 543–564.

[7] R. Aldrighetti, D. Battini, D. Ivanov, and I. Zennaro, Costs of resilience and disruptions in supply chain network design models: A review and future research directions. International Journal of Production Economics, 235 (2021).

[8] S. Gupta and D. Ramachandran, Emerging Market Retail: Transitioning from a Product-Centric to a Customer-Centric Approach. Journal of Retailing, 97 (2021).

[9] A. L. Schaffer, T. A. Dobbins, and S.A. Pearson, Interrupted time series analysis using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models: a guide for evaluating large-scale health interventions. BMC Medical Research Methodology, 21 (2021).

[10] T. Dimri, S. Ahmad, and M. Sharif, Time series analysis of climate variables using seasonal ARIMA approach. Journal of Earth System Science, 129 (2020).

[11] L. Liço, I. Enesi, and H. Jaiswal, Predicting Customer Behavior Using Prophet Algorithm In A Real Time Series Dataset. European Scientific Journal ESJ, 17 (2021).

[12] E. Beard, et al. Understanding and using time series analyses in addiction research. Addiction, 114 (2019) 1866–1884.

[13] I. O. Alade, M. A. Abd Rahman and T. A. Saleh, Modeling and prediction of the specific heat capacity of Al2 O3/water nanofluids using hybrid genetic algorithm/support vector regression model. Nano-Structures & Nano-Objects, 17 (2019) 103–111.

Downloads

Published

10-10-2024

How to Cite

Fu, Z. (2024). Optimizing Retail Inventory Management Through Time Series Analysis. Transactions on Economics, Business and Management Research, 10, 42-48. https://doi.org/10.62051/dy4kaf37